Our initial goal was to have this series done by say…Turkey Day or so but in my mind President’s Day makes a lot more sense. And here’s why — the Cardinals had no clue how the last three months were going to play out and the results to me were still going to be skewed by the playoffs.

Problems solved!

I can now look back at the last campaign without any distractions, but the first mission proves to be a difficult one. How do you judge a player who has no history at his position? Who do you compare him with? And most importantly to this exercise, what stats weigh more in the grand scheme of things?

Welcome to St. Louis Speculation 101!

While Nick will have great answers to the 2B questions, I’m left searching for numbers that make sense to my stat-less way of thinking. This proved to be the best model to illustrate how my brain works. For the life of me, I can’t seem to put offensive numbers and defensive parameters together in a neat package. Combining the team offense with positional defense gets the job done for what I hope to prove.

Skip Schumaker this time last year was not guaranteed much heading into 2009 Spring Training. Then the chatter started, beginning with posts both here and here that left plenty of question marks. Mike’s entry started the head-scratching, and Dan’s contribution only added more fuel to the fire. I still wonder what could have been if the Redbirds had used ST as an audition rather than a rapid-fire learning session, but the results can not be understated given the outcome.

Enjoy the show as your feature presentation is about to begin!

Schumaker should get a solid A for just about every category after making the transition from 4th outfielder to starting next to AP. Don’t get me wrong, I am a Skip fan but many bets would have been lost had someone told me that St. Louis makes the playoffs with No. 55 still starting at second.

With that in mind, my rankings are set up a bit odd this time around. Just how good (and cheap) was the production at the top of the line-up? Grade A if you ask me since Schumaker didn’t miss a beat on the offensive side of the field. He is a strong bet to receive a nice raise this year and a potential long-term deal may not be far behind, especially when you factor in these numbers.

Felipe Lopez from that list stands out, but Skip need not worry about any competition this March. Lopez would be a nice addition for the roster, but his defensive shortcomings make him primarily an insurance policy that is still too expensive. Derrick Goold’s take from last month paints a clear picture but man, I say let’s make a deal that benefits both parties today!

Now that my rant is over, back to the task at hand. Schumaker also gets grades from me in two remaining categories: Defense and Line-up. The first is actually harder to score given preconceived feelings about the experiment that has become a reality. The Secret Weapon earned his paycheck and then some last season by transforming Skip into a serviceable MLB 2B.

Again I admit to lacking in the stat sense of the game but passing the eye test still means a lot from my living room. The Cardinals have a double play combo with potential to stick around much longer than just the upcoming campaign. The credit has to be given where it is due and while Schumaker gets an A for effort, he scores a B with plenty of room for improvement. (On a side note, TLR and the rest of the St. Louis brain trust gets an A+ for creativity)

Rounding out my score, the one area where I have trouble is the line-up. All fans know who bats first, but I want the missing piece of the puzzle as well. Skip’s move to second ultimately opened a long-term space in the outfield where Matt Holliday now resides. With a very potent 3-6, my fear always comes back to the beginning. Schumaker has proven he can get on base in front of the big guns, but will the stop sign ever be lifted? Yup, whether or not it is his fault, a grade of C is all I could muster due to one stat.

Four. Nope, that is not even the number of times a base was stolen by the primary lead-off man. It is, however, the combination of both attempts and makes — ranking him tied for ninth on his own team in that category. Yes, I realize the team and player both had a great 2009, but a final tally of a B leaves room for doubt especially when talking about payroll for the upcoming decade.

That is not what this series is about, and I plan on devoting plenty of time to that very subject in the near future. My intention wasn’t to use the entire post on a single player, but honestly only Julio Lugo deserves even a little print. His grade is incomplete due to coming over mid-season and not knowing exactly how to classify him in terms of position. The rest of the gang is better off employed elsewhere, and that leads us to where we started.

Adam Kennedy found new life back on the West Coast and turned it into another year in the sun. As William Yoder speaks my mind, AK seems destined to be a bridesmaid. He wasn’t the first choice for the lowly Nats, and his release from the Cards played a role in the biggest surprise of  ’09. I guess this proves we should be thankful for life’s small favors and that a happy clubhouse trumps $ every time.

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Join us tomorrow, along with Daniel from C70 at the Bat, as we talk ball (among other things) with Kyle McClellan on the UCB Radio Hour podcast.

The Cardinal pitcher will be joining us from Jupiter, FL where he is already gearing up for Spring Training.

We’ll be sticking to a finite set of questions with Kyle and not taking callers until he hangs up with us, so if you’ve got something you’d like us to ask, post it below!

—–

From the UCB release:

United Cardinal Bloggers To Interview Kyle McClellan

The United Cardinal Bloggers will be interviewing St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Kyle McClellan on Saturday, February 6, at 4:30 pm Central for a special edition of the UCB Radio Hour.

McClellan, a Missouri native who has spent two years with the Cardinals, was 4-4 with a 3.38 ERA coming out of the pen last year.  He has been a solid part of the bullpen since his debut in 2008 and has been conditioning himself to challenge for the fifth spot in the St. Louis rotation this spring.

The United Cardinal Bloggers were formed in 2007 to foster communication and collaboration between those that blog about St. Louis.  The UCB Radio Hour began late in 2008 and now is a weekly staple, airing Wednesdays at 9:30 pm Central at Blog Talk Radio and available for download as a podcast from that site and from iTunes.

No callers will be taken for the McClellan interview, though callers are encouraged on the regular Wednesday show.

The McClellan interview can be heard here, and the show page at Blog Talk Radio can be found here.

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The United Cardinal Bloggers‘ January project tasked us bloggers with putting together a Cardinals team made up of the best at each position, in our opinion, during the recently completed decade.  Not really any other restrictions placed on this one, other than it was due on Friday.  Oops.  Better late than never.

Not surprisingly, there is a lot of overlap with our recent 2000/2010 Roster Mashup and last winter’s Team of the LaRussa Years.

Without further delay, the PH8 Cardinal Team of the Decade:

Catcher – Yadier Molina

Mike Matheny was the only other player who really deserved any sort of mention here, and he wasn’t really close to Molina.  Defense, defense, defense behind the plate for the Redbirds, although Yadi’s bat has lately shown signs of maturation.

(Best single season by a catcher, Yadier Molina – 2009)

First Base – Albert Pujols

Was there any real doubt here?  Save for the early years when he was in the outfield and generally all over the place just to get his bat in the lineup, Pujols has been the mainstay of the Cardinals’ organization in the ‘Aughts.

(Best single season by a first baseman, Albert Pujols – 2009)

Second Base – Fernando Vina

A position that had a rotating entry and exit door, Vina was the only second baseman who ever really gained traction with the Cards in the decade.  Vina missed out on the World Series years, but was the last “tenured” second sacker the Cards have had.

(Best single season by a second baseman, Fernando Vina – 2001)

Third Base – Scott Rolen

Oh what could’ve been.  If not for injury, and bickering, and ego.  The third base position has been as unstable as second base since Rolen’s departure.  What could’ve been a Hall-of-Fame bound career with the Cardinals quickly deteriorated after shoulder injury – but man Scottie had some good years wearing the Birds-on-the-Bat.  Part of the MV3 triumvirate in 2004, Rolen had easily the best season of his career with the Cards.

(Best single season by a third baseman, Scott Rolen – 2004)

Shortstop – Edgar Renteria

Renteria had a monster 2003, followed up by a so-so 2004 in which most Cardinal fans expected more from him.  Folks were still sad when he chose to leave for Boston, but in hindsight, probably the best move for both.  The Cards went on to sign David Eckstein and win that elusive championship in 2006.

Josh says: “Renteria seemed like the logical choice, but it is hard to ignore what Eck meant at the top of the lineup and his overwhelming desire to kick ass and take names (or maybe that was his wrasslin’ matches).

In the end I am going with Nick on this one and slotting Edgar into the SS spot on the squad.”

(Best single season by a shortstop, Edgar Renteria – 2003)

Left Field – Chris Duncan

Shock!  Dismay!  Confusion?!

Before you all lynch me and drag me across the Poplar Street Bridge by my toes, hear me out.

Left field was another pretty undistinguished position for the Redbirds in the ’00s.  Duncan, Ray Lankford, and even So Taguchi are all viable candidates here.  (Heck, you could even make a case for another current Cardinal.)  Lankford has probably the best resume statistically to win this battle.

We chose to go the sentimental, stat-deflated, foam-finger fan route.

Duncan’s 22 home runs, 43 RBI, and .952 OPS helped catapult the 2006 club into the Playoffs and ultimately winning a World Series title.  Were Lankford’s statistical prowess so overwhelming that it wasn’t even close, this is not a debate.  Being that Ray Ray and Lil’ Dunc were so close with their contributions to the team statistically during the decade, we’re using the feel-good story of 2006 as the tiebreaker.

Josh says: “The candidates are not great options when you look at C. Dunc’s strengths and weaknesses, Reggie Sanders’ crazy even and odd splits, and the rest of the crew. At this point I am leaning towards Duncan just due to the WS win. Is that wrong?”

(Best season by a left fielder, Albert Pujols – 2003)  – See what I mean by case for another current Card?

Center Field – Jim Edmonds

Any questions about this one?  Didn’t think so.  Jimmy was a permanent highlight reel both in the field and at the plate.

Josh says: “Brewers, really!?”

(Best season by a center fielder, Jim Edmonds – 2004)

Right Field – J.D. Drew

Ryan Ludwick closed quickly at the end of the decade, but it just wasn’t enough to match Drew’s output from the front end of the period.  While he wasn’t consistently on the field, Drew was very consistently good when not injured.  2001 was Drew’s signature year before sputtering out and leaving for big dollars

(Best season by a right fielder, Ryan Ludwick – 2008)

Starting Pitcher – Chris Carpenter

With a tip of the cap to current teammate Adam Wainwright, who will no doubt make his case for the coming decade, Carpenter was easily the choice here.  Others like Matt Morris, Darryl Kile, and Woody Williams had periods of success during the decade, but Carpenter won a Cy Young, contended for others, and has arguably been the bellwether of the Cardinals’ success for the last five years.

(Best season by a starting pitcher, Chris Carpenter – 2005)

Relief Pitcher – Jason Isringhausen

Isringhausen deserved a much better departure from St. Louis than he received.  With his style of pitching and ability to turn easy saves into high leverage, Izzy gave many Cardinal fans indigestion – but he had undoubted success with the Cardinals.  Isringhausen left the Cardinals as the team’s all-time leader in saves and sixth all-time in appearances.

(Best season by a relief pitcher, Steve Kline – 2001)

—–

A successful decade for the Cardinals – they won 913 games, six division titles, and appeared in the playoffs seven times – it’s easy to see how it was done looking at the All-Decade roster above.

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Hey, remember this series? Let’s see if we can knock out a few more positions before pitchers and catchers report, eh?

By games played at the position of first base:

G GS 1B
Albert Pujols 160 158 159
Yadier Molina 140 136 6
Chris Duncan 87 71 6
David Freese 17 5 3
Mark DeRosa 68 61 3
Jason LaRue 51 26 2
Troy Glaus 14 5 2
Matt Pagnozzi 6 0 1
Tyler Greene 48 29 1
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/2/2010.




Albert Pujols

I, much like other (all more esteemed) folks writing around baseball, am beginning to run out of superlatives to use for The Machine.

A third National League Most Valuable Player Award.  Led the league in runs, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS+, and total bases – among other categories.

There really is no need to expound upon the offensive prowess and exploits of Pujols. He continues to produce at a high level at the plate, leading the Cardinals back to the playoffs.

So why the grade you see below?  Isn’t Pujols the best player in the game? Most complete at his position?

Not so fast. He CAN be those things.

In my opinion, Albert stretched himself a little thin in the 2009 season trying to do too much, to be too much, for his team. I know that’s not necessarily a bad quality to have, but it resulted in some regression in a couple aspects of Albert’s game.

Gold Glove potential at first base gave way to the most errors Pujols has committed since 2005. Pujols’ UZR has declined from 18.8 in 2007, to 8.5 in 2008, to a paltry 1.3 in 2009.

Sure, the Cards don’t necessarily pay Pujols to be a Gold Glover, but he certainly has the ability.

I am willing to buy into the camp that believes Albert may have been overcompensating for outfielder-turned-second-baseman Skip Schumaker.  Ranging for more balls than he would’ve with a “classically trained” second sacker to his right.  Attempting to make many plays himself rather than depending on Skip being a fundamentally sound infielder.  Hopefully this can change as Schu moves forward in ongoing seasons on the infield.

Another area where Albert can improve – and arguably another where he may have been pressing as the leader of the 2009 squad – is baserunning.  AP has always been praised as a smart ballplayer, and a very intelligent baserunner.  He has an uncanny ability to read pitchers, evidenced by his sixteen stolen bases in 2009 despite being, shall we say, “speed challenged.”

Where my concern lies is with Pujols’ twelve outs on base to lead the team.  Compared to a 46% success rate taking the extra base, a rate good for third-worst in his career, and it seems Albert felt an increased need to push the issue in 2009 to force runs to score.

Will Matt Holliday’s full-time presence in 2010 ease some of this burden for Albert and make him once again the complete, even-more-brilliant player that will make a push for a $30 million annual payday following the 2010 season?

Grade: A

The Field

It will be interesting to see if anyone winds up spelling Mang at first base in an increased backup/relief role in 2010.  Pujols logged a lot of starts and a lot of innings in 2009, and one can’t help but wonder if he should have an additional day or two off as his career progresses.

Regardless, 2009 saw Yadier Molina and Chris Duncan, of all people, tying for second-most games played at first base.

That’s all I need to know to take a pass on grading anyone but Pujols here.

Grade: Incomplete

—–

Overall grade: A

We’re off to a good start with A grades for both the catchers and first base. It occurs to me that second base might start some of the lower grades.  After all, we’re not grading against the challenge faced by the player incumbent in that position.

Hey, maybe we’ll even get around to writing these more often than every few months.

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The doldrums of winter, with no regular baseball to watch, generally lends itself to filling time with something other than writing – if for no other reason than a lack of things to write about.

Here, that typically means futzing around with the site structure, engine, and appearance.

To that end, I want to bring your attention to some of the most recent futzing.

1.  Undertook a huge clean up project to reduce the number of categories on the site, as well as the tags.  Categories now are more general, like Current Cardinals or Minor League Cardinals.  Tags will drill you down to more specific posts, like a specific player name like Skip Schumaker or Yadier Molina.

2.  With the change in site structure and the way you (the reader) will link to older posts, I’ve moved the Categories drop-down menu and added a similar Tags menu at the very top of the sidebars:

There are also tag clouds on both the Archives page and at the bottom of every page on the site in the brand spanking new…

3.  …Footer!  Been looking to add the footer for a while now, never was really sure what we could put in there, and it figures to be dynamic for a little while to determine what does or doesn’t work best down there.  Scroll to the bottom of the page and check it out.

4.  ‘Read a Random Post’ is over there in the far right sidebar.  We’ve managed to build up a pretty significant history of posts now in almost two years, and instead of having them all become buried treasure, now they are available in the sidebar on a rotating basis – making it very easy for you all to see just how wrong PH8 was about several topics and ridicule.

5.  I mention these items only because you are certain to see them, so they deserve mention – I’ve added a ‘Donate’ button for PayPal at the bottom of the sidebar and an affiliate link to the creators of our design framework, Thesis, in the sidebar.  While you loyal readers (all three of you), are certainly under no obligation to click on either, your support of Pitchers Hit Eighth in either case is much appreciated.  If you’ve got a blog that you wish to redesign, Thesis is awesome – again, it’s the basis of our site here.  If you find PH8 strangely adds value to your daily routine and wish to make a PayPal donation, that is much appreciated as well.  Any funds we’ve accumulated so far have been put toward hosting and domain registration, and general upgrades to the site.  Now that Josh and Andrew are on board, I’d love to be able to thank them for their contributions to the site by kicking back some tickets or other useful stuff to them.  Thanks for reading this item, I won’t mention this stuff again unless absolutely necessary.

6.  I’ve added links to the Baseball Bloggers Alliance member sites, I’ve updated the blogrolls in the sidebars, and I’ve added a ‘Friends of PH8′ section.  I’ve made some calls on Twitter already, I’ll do the same here – if you aren’t in the blogroll and wish to be, send me an e-mail or post in the comments below, and we’ll get you on there.

Thanks again for reading here, we hope to keep you entertained as another great season of Cardinals baseball takes off soon.  As always, if you have suggestions for improvements to the site and/or our writing, let us know.

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ESPN’s Keith Law from Scouts Inc. ranked the St. Louis Cardinal minor league system 29th out of 30 in his yearly organizational rankings list. St. Louis’ system was depleted by the mid-season trade acquisitions of Mark DeRosa and Matt Holliday.

While having a poor minor league system is never a good thing, on the optimistic side, St. Louis has put itself in a position to be a serious contender for the short term, giving scouting director Jeff Luhnow plenty of time to replenish the farm system for the future.

In Law’s Top 100 Prospects of 2010 (ESPN.com Insider subscription required) rankings, he listed two future Cardinals; starting pitcher Shelby Miller ranked 38th, and outfielder Daryl Jones ranking 59th.  Let’s take a look at what Law had to say about them:

Shelby Miller:

“Miller was the best prep right-hander in last year’s draft class but fell to the Cardinals at the 19th pick due to suspected bonus demands, which turned out to be reasonable for his level of talent. He’s a very high-upside pitcher who projects to have two plus pitches between his 92-96 mph fastball that has flashed a little better and a 76-78 mph curveball with good depth. He seldom used his changeup in high school but started showing it more in Quad Cities, where it showed promise as at least a future average pitch. At 6-foot-3, he gets good downhill plane on his pitches and has the height and frame of a front-end starter. His command is well-below-average right now and may have contributed to his slide to St. Louis in the draft, but his arm works well with a high hand separation and short path, and he repeats his delivery. He’s not likely to race up the system, but has top-of-the-rotation upside that no one in the Cardinals’ system can match.”

Daryl Jones:

“Jones is an incredible athlete along the lines of a Domonic Brown, with a solid swing and good plate discipline for someone his age and with his light level of baseball experience. He was a three-sport athlete in high school, playing football and track and field. Until LASIK surgery in 2007, he hadn’t shown any progress as a hitter in pro ball, but he broke out in 2008 only to have a quad strain turn chronic and cost him nearly all of July and August. He’s a plus-plus runner who shows good pitch recognition and sprays line drives to all fields. Where Jones may fall short as a hitter is in the power department — he’s pretty linear and doesn’t transfer his weight fully, striding but keeping his weight back even through contact, so even though he’s physically wired for power he’s not going to fully realize that with his current swing. On defense, he has the speed for center but his reads continue to need work, and his arm won’t allow him to play right. With Colby Rasmus establishing himself in center field in St. Louis, Jones will probably shift to left unless he’s traded, and he’ll have to get more power out of his swing to be a star in a spot that’s often reserved for guys who can hit but offer little on defense.”

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Disappointment comes in many forms, especially when you are a true fan. A little bit of me dies inside every time St. Louis signs a former Cub, but that is just silly, right? The bigger trouble is knowing that former Cards will play in other uniforms, but does it have to be the Royals and Brewers!?!?!

The Rich Hill move did surprise at least this corner of the PH8 triangle, but I am all for competition. Of course that just leads me to former Redbird Kiko Calero, who is still on the market. Matthew Leach’s recent post and inbox further push the signing of any more arms to the back-burner in favor of bench help (sorry Nick, no Smoltz in your stocking it appears).

Since I started at the end, let me back up to where this saga all began. The Cards Caravan came through my hometown on the 16th, and my expectations were high. Mind you it has been a long time since I was part of the ‘media’ scene, and this should have factored into my thinking more. David Freese and Kyle McClellan answering questions in the local college gym sounded great, except the whole thing was scripted.

So yes, chalk one more up in the ‘failed to meet hype’ category for yours truly but that is becoming common practice anymore unless Pujols is involved. Matt Holliday and Mark McGwire are sure to get their share of the pub in 2010, but the No. 5 clock to FA never seems to become a dead topic.

Getting the best player in the game signed for life has to be top priority for St. Louis, but there are other holes to fill before March. Bernie Miklasz puts it on paper much better than I in this post, and I agree with much of what he is saying. The Cards have money available for two or maybe three of the group still on the market depending on how things shake out.

Andrew’s take can be found here, and one name in particular stands out for me. Felipe Lopez is no stranger to the club and fills a few of the check marks left on the Pre-ST wish list. The price may be right for another reunion, as Lopez found his game again while auditioning with St. Louis in 2008. He provides insurance at a few positions, and I’m sure TLR will not hesitate to try out a few more.

Ending this on another sad note wasn’t my intention, but one question from Leach’s chat concluded what what pretty much a done deal. I have to give props to Marcus B. from Jacksonville, Ill who must be one of our three loyal readers with this gem — “What are the odds of Molina batting ninth with the pitcher eighth? This would keep the double plays at a minimum with Yadi, as the pitcher could sacrifice any runners over and leave a runner or two in scoring position.”

As I’m sure most of you can guess, Matthew was not so kind with his reply — “Virtually nil. The Cardinals are very unlikely to bat the pitcher eighth this year. Even if they do, Molina is not the guy they would use. La Russa likes on-base ability but also speed in the nine spot, if at all possible. He also likes Molina hitting in an RBI spot in the lineup. Molina has a career .269 batting average, but is .296 for his career with runners in scoring position.”

Does anybody else get small chance out of that…all PHE needs is a miracle at this point, anyone have Albert’s number on speed-dial?

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Pitchers Hit Eighth is a proud member of the Society for American Baseball Research, and as such, we feel the need to publicize “SABR Day in America” which is taking place this Saturday.

From the SABR press release on the day’s event:

“SABR DAY” TO BE CELEBRATED ACROSS NORTH AMERICA ON JANUARY 30

On Saturday, January 30, 2010, members of the Society for American Baseball Research (SABR) will come together to celebrate SABR and all things baseball. Chapters and members across the US and Canada will gather for everything from Hot Stove discussions to research presentations to guest talks by former players to a Dice Base Ball Tournament (scheduled to be played outside in Vermont).

SABR has 55 chapters in the US, Canada, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, and Japan. Approximately 10% of the membership attends SABR’s national convention each year, making local chapters a key part of the nationwide (and worldwide) community of baseball fans who make up the heart of SABR. SABR Day is an alternative to gathering members in one place by having as many members as possible come together on the same day—regardless of where they live. And every SABR Day gathering is open to all baseball fans; SABR membership is not required.

The Society for American Baseball Research is an international, member-driven nonprofit organization whose mission is to foster the research, preservation, and dissemination of the history and record of baseball. More information is available on SABR’s website at: www.sabr.org.

Unfortunately, I will not be able to attend any of the festivities (prior commitments – read: real job), but I believe Andrew will be at the St. Louis chapter’s event.

The St. Louis (Bob Broeg) Chapter of SABR will be hosting their Annual Hot Stove Luncheon on Saturday, January 30th, at Mike Shannon’s Steaks and Seafood from 12 noon to 3:30 pm.

Derrick Goold from the St. Louis Post-Dispatch will be speaking and there will also be a moderated panel discussion on blogging in baseball, hosted by our esteemed colleagues Pip from Fungoes and Matt Sebek from Joe Sports Fan.

If you can, please plan to attend – tickets are $30 – and enjoy a great afternoon of Cardinals baseball (and blogging!) immersion.

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