UCB: Top 7 Prospects

by on September 7, 2008 · 10 comments

I was asked to take part in a ‘United Cardinal Bloggers‘ project which tasked several of us Cardinal blog writers to list our top seven prospects in the organization.  That was the only instruction, there were no further restrictions.  As such, my list follows:

1.  OF Colby Rasmus – Obviously, any Cardinal prospect list has to start with Rasmus.  2008 was to be Colby’s first full year in triple-A ball, after a pretty impressive spring training with the big club.  Colby started slow at Memphis, as he’s prone to do when moving levels, and just before taking a place with Team USA in Beijing, Rasmus hurt his knee.  He rehabbed at the lower levels of the organization to finish off 2008.  Many are projecting Rasmus to be with the Cardinals in 2009, further complicating the outfield situation in St Louis.  Tony LaRussa’s recent rant about adding ‘impact players’ for next season has raised more speculation than ever that Rasmus may be dealt, but I don’t envision John Mozeliak making that move.  The Cards haven’t had such a highly touted youngster in my recent memory, and I just can’t see Mo shipping him away without just a ridiculous return in trade.

2.  3B(?) Brett Wallace – I really hope that the Cards give this guy a chance to stick at third base.  He’s been playing there for years, why is it all of a sudden incomprehensible that he could play third for many years going forward?  Yeah yeah, I know, Major League Baseball is a totally different game than college.  But figure that he played the hot corner at Arizona State with aluminum bats rapping baseballs his way, and he managed fine.  Anyway, soapbox aside, Wallace is a hitter.  Wherever he winds up fitting in on the field, the guy can rake.  He tore up pitchers in the Midwest League putting up .327/.418/.490 for Quad Cities.  He got a call to Springfield for their playoff push, and proceeded to do even better there at .367/.456/.653 in 49 at-bats.  Wallace could well be a defensive liability no matter where the Cardinals finally land him, but his bat should more than make up for that liability.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see Wallace start next season at Memphis, furthering the 3B logjam in the upper levels of the organization.

3.  C Bryan Anderson – Anderson has hit at every level he’s played.  His defense has always been his question mark.  A bit of a slump late in the season at Memphis dropped his average, but Anderson has been around .300 or better for his entire minor league career.  I give him a little extra boost for the purpose of this ranking, because Anderson right now is probably the Cards’ most marketable talent in the minor leagues, at a premium position nonetheless.  The Redbirds obviously have an entrenched incumbent at the catcher position in the big leagues, with Yadier Molina obviously having staked his claim, especially after a fantastic offensive campaign this year.  Would Yadi’s stranglehold on the position be weakened at all if LaRussa was no longer managing the club?  Doubtful, especially if he can continue to hit like he has in 2008, but it’s worth discussion.  I would love to see the Cards have Anderson apprentice a season as Molina’s backup before trading him, just to see what they really have in the kid – but I realize that if he were to struggle, his trade value drops.  Will be interesting to see if Anderson is still with the organization come spring.

4.  CL Chris Perez – Perez now has a few chinks in the armor, as he’s been roughed up recently.  His slider still needs work.  His control still needs work.  His fastball still gets up on hitters at 98 mph.  Given the opportunity, he will be a nasty closer for the Cardinals in 2009 and beyond.  I see Perez chiming in for 30+ saves for many seasons with the Birds.  Assuming that someone finally stops Dave Duncan’s reliever-to-starter conversion machine from taking over the world, envision a Kyle McClellan, Jason Motte, Perez back end of games for the next bunch of seasons.  I like the sound of that.

5.  OF Daryl Jones – Prior to this season, Jones surely would not have registered on a list like this.  Always a ‘tools guy’ who had never really put it together, Jones had a monster year between high-A Palm Beach and double-A Springfield.  This breakout season for Jones is helping to reinforce the organizational approach to the draft and minor leagues under the watch of Jeff Luhnow.  Drafting guys who are athletic and have a skill set that they hope can be coached into statistics hopefully will continue to pan out with guys like Jones and Pete Kozma (still holding out hope on that guy).

6.  SP Jaime Garcia – Tough break about Garcia’s elbow.  I have some growing concern about the prevalence of injuries to Cardinal pitcher arms, but that’s a topic for another time.  The ‘Tommy John Surgery’ procedure has come a long way, and it’s been said that a TJ can sometimes add velocity for a pitcher.  Again, not something you’d choose to go through just for that, but if it has to happen, might well look on the bright side of it?  Garcia was a leading candidate to pick up the fourth or fifth spot in the Cards rotation for next season.  He was probably rushed to the bigs this year as a necessity, but certainly could’ve been ready as a full-time guy next season.

7.  OF Jon Jay – Jay had a bit of a hiccup at the plate last season when he was promoted to Springfield, but impressed enough there this season to earn a call to Memphis where he showed even better.  The organization is seemingly deep at the outfield positions, so it should be interesting to see what happens personnel-wise in the next season or two – Mozeliak may be in a position to position-shift some of his better young talent.  Jay flashed more power this season than he had shown in previous seasons, perhaps at 23 growing his body into his talent.

Near misses:  3B David Freese, RP Jason Motte, SS Nico Vazquez

It sure is fun to be able to undertake a project like this and have something to write about.  I’m not sure I could’ve said the same a few years ago.  Thanks to C70 for the invite to take part in this gig, I look forward to future UCB projects.

Check out the other entries by following these links: C70 at the Bat, CardinalsGM, Future Redbirds, Get Up Baby, Mike On The Cards, The Redbird Blog, Redbird Ramblings, Rockin’ the Red, and Viva El Birdos.

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Writing about the Cardinals and other loosely associated topics since 2008, I've grown tired of the April run-out only to disappoint Cardinal fans everywhere by mid-May. I do not believe in surrendering free outs.
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{ 8 comments }

brian September 8, 2008

i like perez too, despite recent struggles

it’s a pleasure to find your blog!

PHE September 8, 2008

I think Perez just needs time to get his control worked out, and he will be a mainstay for many years.

Sarah-bug September 8, 2008

They were talking about Josh Johnson last night during the game–about how he had his TJ surgery early and “got it out of the way”–and it made me think of García. Maybe he’ll still work his way into the rotation here, just pushed back a year.

It seems like Rasmus has become the big name for the club in terms of prospects (I think everybody had him at the or near the top of the list), but is he really as good as all the hype or are we destined for an injury-ridden, hit-and-miss disappointment? Please forgive my pessimism.

PHE September 8, 2008

Heh – “got it out of the way”. Amazing how surgeries and the like are viewed these days.

Yeah, it’s been said that given Garcia’s mechanics, he was bound to run across arm troubles sooner or later, so maybe it’s best he get that thing rebuilt now and come back with lots of years to play.

Sarah, you’re not suggesting that Colby reminds you of a certain former Cardinal corner outfielder, are you? :)

Sarah-bug September 8, 2008

Never….

PHE September 8, 2008

Not to jinx him or the team or anything like that, but I think if he’s not with the big club when they break camp next year, it won’t happen for him with the Cardinals.

StLCards September 9, 2008

We really need to define the term ‘prospect’ in order to rate these guys. As your list shows, prospect, doesn’t equate to ready to help the club. Age/level is a huge part of being a prospect. The same numbers that make a 19 year old at high A a highly rated prospect can make a 28 year old AAA player deemed a perrenial minor leaguer, yet the AAA player is much more likely to make an immediate impact for the big league club in some capacity than the 19 year old.

You can also look at someone like Ludwick that started as a highly rated prospect and ended up labeled as a reserve type player due to injury and advancing age vs his ‘prospect’ status.

I think it was last year that the Yankees minor league player Tabata was one of the highest rated prospects since he was only 18 and had already made the Futures Game. Now this year he is deemed as having some personality issues and was traded away.

As far as Rasmus goes, I really think he will be with the club for a long time manning center field. He showed what he is capable of in Spring Training and he is only 22. He has both power and speed, something the Cardinals really need. Probably what he needs more than anything, besides a few years older, is some seasoning with the big league club and to see how guys like Pujols approach the game.

I do hope the Cardinals add an ‘impact player’ to the team, but what that means is the owners opening up the pocket books. If it means trading away prospects, then that makes no sense as the new policy is to build up the farm team. I understand Tony wanting to get the proven experienced guy and giving up a few youngsters that may never make it in the majors anyway is the price of doing business. Problem is you could just as easily give up an up and coming ‘impact player’ and get in return a broken down player in return.

I really think the Cardinals have a bright future ahead which is maybe two years from now. To me the key won’t be signing position players, except maybe an impact SS, but rather getting some more pitching. Carpenter and Wainwright really are the future right now for the Cardinals, which is why I think putting Carpenter in as the closer for one game a series is ludicrous. Just use this time to let Perez go out there and learn. It’s not like he isn’t used to blowing a game now and then since he has been a closer already, just at a different level.

Nice list, I’d have to think more about how I would rate them myself, but certainly I’d still have Rasmus on top.

PHE September 9, 2008

Well, I think that was part of the beauty of the exercise – there was no definition defined. We were all asked to name *our* best seven.

My definition basically boiled down to which seven players I thought had the best chance to help the team, whether via their own performance or via trade, during their professional baseball career. As you’ve said, other opinions might (and have, in others’ posts) differ.

C’est la vie… :)

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